Columbia Disciplined E Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 15.85

AQEAX Fund  USD 16.76  0.06  0.36%   
Columbia Disciplined's future price is the expected price of Columbia Disciplined instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Columbia Disciplined E performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Columbia Disciplined Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Columbia Disciplined Correlation, Columbia Disciplined Hype Analysis, Columbia Disciplined Volatility, Columbia Disciplined History as well as Columbia Disciplined Performance.
  
Please specify Columbia Disciplined's target price for which you would like Columbia Disciplined odds to be computed.

Columbia Disciplined Target Price Odds to finish below 15.85

The tendency of Columbia Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 15.85  or more in 90 days
 16.76 90 days 15.85 
about 34.42
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Columbia Disciplined to drop to $ 15.85  or more in 90 days from now is about 34.42 (This Columbia Disciplined E probability density function shows the probability of Columbia Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Columbia Disciplined price to stay between $ 15.85  and its current price of $16.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 59.59 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Columbia Disciplined E has a beta of -0.0174. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Columbia Disciplined are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Columbia Disciplined E is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Columbia Disciplined E has an alpha of 0.0949, implying that it can generate a 0.0949 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Columbia Disciplined Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Columbia Disciplined

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Columbia Disciplined. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.0016.7617.52
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.7916.5517.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
15.8516.6117.37
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.9316.4817.03
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Columbia Disciplined. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Columbia Disciplined's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Columbia Disciplined's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Columbia Disciplined.

Columbia Disciplined Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Columbia Disciplined is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Columbia Disciplined's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Columbia Disciplined E, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Columbia Disciplined within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.46
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Columbia Disciplined Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Columbia Disciplined for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Columbia Disciplined can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Columbia Disciplined Core A a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - MSN
The fund holds 99.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Columbia Disciplined Technical Analysis

Columbia Disciplined's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Columbia Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Columbia Disciplined E. In general, you should focus on analyzing Columbia Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Columbia Disciplined Predictive Forecast Models

Columbia Disciplined's time-series forecasting models is one of many Columbia Disciplined's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Columbia Disciplined's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Columbia Disciplined

Checking the ongoing alerts about Columbia Disciplined for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Columbia Disciplined help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Is Columbia Disciplined Core A a Strong Mutual Fund Pick Right Now - MSN
The fund holds 99.54% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Columbia Mutual Fund

Columbia Disciplined financial ratios help investors to determine whether Columbia Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Columbia with respect to the benefits of owning Columbia Disciplined security.
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