Lkcm Aquinas Catholic Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 21.81

AQEIX Fund  USD 19.83  0.10  0.51%   
Lkcm Aquinas' future price is the expected price of Lkcm Aquinas instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lkcm Aquinas Catholic performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lkcm Aquinas Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lkcm Aquinas Correlation, Lkcm Aquinas Hype Analysis, Lkcm Aquinas Volatility, Lkcm Aquinas History as well as Lkcm Aquinas Performance.
  
Please specify Lkcm Aquinas' target price for which you would like Lkcm Aquinas odds to be computed.

Lkcm Aquinas Target Price Odds to finish over 21.81

The tendency of Lkcm Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 21.81  or more in 90 days
 19.83 90 days 21.81 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lkcm Aquinas to move over $ 21.81  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Lkcm Aquinas Catholic probability density function shows the probability of Lkcm Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lkcm Aquinas Catholic price to stay between its current price of $ 19.83  and $ 21.81  at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lkcm Aquinas has a beta of 0.78. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Lkcm Aquinas average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lkcm Aquinas Catholic will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lkcm Aquinas Catholic has an alpha of 0.0047, implying that it can generate a 0.004664 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Lkcm Aquinas Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lkcm Aquinas

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lkcm Aquinas Catholic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.1219.8320.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9219.6320.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.8819.5920.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
19.7019.8019.89
Details

Lkcm Aquinas Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lkcm Aquinas is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lkcm Aquinas' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lkcm Aquinas Catholic, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lkcm Aquinas within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.44
Ir
Information ratio -0.03

Lkcm Aquinas Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lkcm Aquinas for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lkcm Aquinas Catholic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Lkcm Aquinas Technical Analysis

Lkcm Aquinas' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lkcm Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lkcm Aquinas Catholic. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lkcm Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lkcm Aquinas Predictive Forecast Models

Lkcm Aquinas' time-series forecasting models is one of many Lkcm Aquinas' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lkcm Aquinas' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lkcm Aquinas Catholic

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lkcm Aquinas for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lkcm Aquinas Catholic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Lkcm Mutual Fund

Lkcm Aquinas financial ratios help investors to determine whether Lkcm Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Lkcm with respect to the benefits of owning Lkcm Aquinas security.
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