Cavalier Investments Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 13.18
| AQGX Etf | USD 13.13 0.00 0.00% |
Cavalier |
Cavalier Investments Target Price Odds to finish below 13.18
The tendency of Cavalier Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 13.18 after 90 days |
| 13.13 | 90 days | 13.18 | about 76.18 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cavalier Investments to stay under $ 13.18 after 90 days from now is about 76.18 (This Cavalier Investments probability density function shows the probability of Cavalier Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cavalier Investments price to stay between its current price of $ 13.13 and $ 13.18 at the end of the 90-day period is nearly 4.48 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Cavalier Investments has a beta of 0.0221. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Cavalier Investments average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cavalier Investments will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cavalier Investments has an alpha of 0.1011, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cavalier Investments Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Cavalier Investments
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cavalier Investments. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cavalier Investments Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cavalier Investments is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cavalier Investments' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cavalier Investments, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cavalier Investments within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.36 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Cavalier Investments Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cavalier Investments for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cavalier Investments can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cavalier Investments is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Cavalier Investments Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cavalier Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cavalier Investments' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cavalier Investments' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 4.12k | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 6.25k |
Cavalier Investments Technical Analysis
Cavalier Investments' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cavalier Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cavalier Investments. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cavalier Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cavalier Investments Predictive Forecast Models
Cavalier Investments' time-series forecasting models is one of many Cavalier Investments' etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cavalier Investments' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cavalier Investments
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cavalier Investments for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cavalier Investments help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cavalier Investments is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any etf could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. You can also try the Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities.
The market value of Cavalier Investments is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cavalier that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cavalier Investments' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cavalier Investments' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cavalier Investments' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cavalier Investments' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cavalier Investments' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cavalier Investments is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cavalier Investments' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.