Aquaporin (Denmark) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 21.06
| AQP Stock | 21.60 0.30 1.37% |
Aquaporin |
Aquaporin Target Price Odds to finish over 21.06
The tendency of Aquaporin Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 21.06 in 90 days |
| 21.60 | 90 days | 21.06 | about 84.95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aquaporin to stay above 21.06 in 90 days from now is about 84.95 (This Aquaporin AS probability density function shows the probability of Aquaporin Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aquaporin AS price to stay between 21.06 and its current price of 21.6 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.4 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aquaporin will likely underperform. Additionally Aquaporin AS has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aquaporin Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aquaporin
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aquaporin AS. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aquaporin Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aquaporin is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aquaporin's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aquaporin AS, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aquaporin within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.68 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.40 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Aquaporin Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aquaporin for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aquaporin AS can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aquaporin AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aquaporin AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aquaporin AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (131.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.37 M. | |
| Aquaporin generates negative cash flow from operations |
Aquaporin Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aquaporin Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aquaporin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aquaporin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.1 M |
Aquaporin Technical Analysis
Aquaporin's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aquaporin Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aquaporin AS. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aquaporin Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aquaporin Predictive Forecast Models
Aquaporin's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aquaporin's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aquaporin's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aquaporin AS
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aquaporin for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aquaporin AS help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aquaporin AS generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aquaporin AS has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aquaporin AS has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 8.92 M. Net Loss for the year was (131.77 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.37 M. | |
| Aquaporin generates negative cash flow from operations |
Other Information on Investing in Aquaporin Stock
Aquaporin financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aquaporin Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aquaporin with respect to the benefits of owning Aquaporin security.