Aequus Pharmaceuticals Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.00647
| AQS Stock | CAD 0.01 0.00 0.00% |
Aequus |
Aequus Pharmaceuticals Target Price Odds to finish below 0.00647
The tendency of Aequus Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under C$ 0.01 after 90 days |
| 0.01 | 90 days | 0.01 | about 9.53 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aequus Pharmaceuticals to stay under C$ 0.01 after 90 days from now is about 9.53 (This Aequus Pharmaceuticals probability density function shows the probability of Aequus Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aequus Pharmaceuticals price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.01 and C$ 0.01 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.47 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 5.72 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aequus Pharmaceuticals will likely underperform. Moreover Aequus Pharmaceuticals has an alpha of 1.3054, implying that it can generate a 1.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aequus Pharmaceuticals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aequus Pharmaceuticals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aequus Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aequus Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aequus Pharmaceuticals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aequus Pharmaceuticals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aequus Pharmaceuticals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aequus Pharmaceuticals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 5.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Aequus Pharmaceuticals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aequus Pharmaceuticals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aequus Pharmaceuticals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aequus Pharmaceuticals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 254.9 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.69 M. | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has accumulated about 1.46 M in cash with (2.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Aequus Pharmaceuticals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aequus Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aequus Pharmaceuticals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aequus Pharmaceuticals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 132.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 215 K |
Aequus Pharmaceuticals Technical Analysis
Aequus Pharmaceuticals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aequus Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aequus Pharmaceuticals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aequus Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aequus Pharmaceuticals Predictive Forecast Models
Aequus Pharmaceuticals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aequus Pharmaceuticals' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aequus Pharmaceuticals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aequus Pharmaceuticals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aequus Pharmaceuticals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aequus Pharmaceuticals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 254.9 K. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.69 M. | |
| Aequus Pharmaceuticals has accumulated about 1.46 M in cash with (2.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.02, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Aequus Stock Analysis
When running Aequus Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure Aequus Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aequus Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of Aequus Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aequus Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aequus Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aequus Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.