Aquagold International Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 35.86
| AQUI Stock | USD 0.0004 0.00 0.00% |
Aquagold |
Aquagold International Target Price Odds to finish over 35.86
The tendency of Aquagold Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 35.86 or more in 90 days |
| 0.0004 | 90 days | 35.86 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aquagold International to move over $ 35.86 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Aquagold International probability density function shows the probability of Aquagold Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aquagold International price to stay between its current price of $ 0.0004 and $ 35.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 90.25 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 2.62 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Aquagold International will likely underperform. Additionally Aquagold International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aquagold International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aquagold International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aquagold International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aquagold International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aquagold International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aquagold International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aquagold International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aquagold International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aquagold International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.78 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 2.62 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.14 |
Aquagold International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aquagold International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aquagold International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aquagold International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aquagold International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aquagold International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aquagold International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (627.79 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (143.88 K). | |
| Aquagold International currently holds about 1.15 K in cash with (218.19 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Aquagold International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aquagold Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aquagold International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aquagold International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Short Long Term Debt | 258.5 K |
Aquagold International Technical Analysis
Aquagold International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aquagold Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aquagold International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aquagold Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aquagold International Predictive Forecast Models
Aquagold International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aquagold International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aquagold International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aquagold International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aquagold International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aquagold International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aquagold International generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aquagold International has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Aquagold International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Aquagold International has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (627.79 K) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (143.88 K). | |
| Aquagold International currently holds about 1.15 K in cash with (218.19 K) of positive cash flow from operations. |
Other Information on Investing in Aquagold Pink Sheet
Aquagold International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aquagold Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aquagold with respect to the benefits of owning Aquagold International security.