Argo Blockchain (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 30.02
| ARB Stock | 8.10 0.48 6.30% |
Argo |
Argo Blockchain Target Price Odds to finish over 30.02
The tendency of Argo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 30.02 or more in 90 days |
| 8.10 | 90 days | 30.02 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Argo Blockchain to move over 30.02 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Argo Blockchain PLC probability density function shows the probability of Argo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Argo Blockchain PLC price to stay between its current price of 8.10 and 30.02 at the end of the 90-day period is about 91.78 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Argo Blockchain PLC has a beta of -1.98. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Argo Blockchain PLC are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Argo Blockchain is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Argo Blockchain PLC has an alpha of 0.2138, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Argo Blockchain Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Argo Blockchain
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argo Blockchain PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Argo Blockchain Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Argo Blockchain is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Argo Blockchain's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Argo Blockchain PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Argo Blockchain within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.98 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.64 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Argo Blockchain Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Argo Blockchain for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Argo Blockchain PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Argo Blockchain PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Argo Blockchain PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Argo Blockchain PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 57.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.18 M. |
Argo Blockchain Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Argo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Argo Blockchain's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argo Blockchain's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 503.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.8 M |
Argo Blockchain Technical Analysis
Argo Blockchain's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Argo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Argo Blockchain PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Argo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Argo Blockchain Predictive Forecast Models
Argo Blockchain's time-series forecasting models is one of many Argo Blockchain's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Argo Blockchain's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Argo Blockchain PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Argo Blockchain for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Argo Blockchain PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Argo Blockchain PLC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Argo Blockchain PLC has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Argo Blockchain PLC has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 57.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (35.03 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 9.18 M. |
Check out Argo Blockchain Backtesting, Argo Blockchain Valuation, Argo Blockchain Correlation, Argo Blockchain Hype Analysis, Argo Blockchain Volatility, Argo Blockchain History as well as Argo Blockchain Performance. You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.