Accelerate Arbitrage Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 23.32

ARB Etf  CAD 26.31  0.05  0.19%   
Accelerate Arbitrage's future price is the expected price of Accelerate Arbitrage instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accelerate Arbitrage performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accelerate Arbitrage Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Accelerate Arbitrage Correlation, Accelerate Arbitrage Hype Analysis, Accelerate Arbitrage Volatility, Accelerate Arbitrage History as well as Accelerate Arbitrage Performance.
  
Please specify Accelerate Arbitrage's target price for which you would like Accelerate Arbitrage odds to be computed.

Accelerate Arbitrage Target Price Odds to finish below 23.32

The tendency of Accelerate Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to C$ 23.32  or more in 90 days
 26.31 90 days 23.32 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accelerate Arbitrage to drop to C$ 23.32  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Accelerate Arbitrage probability density function shows the probability of Accelerate Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Accelerate Arbitrage price to stay between C$ 23.32  and its current price of C$26.31 at the end of the 90-day period is about 89.38 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Accelerate Arbitrage has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Accelerate Arbitrage average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Accelerate Arbitrage will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Accelerate Arbitrage has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Accelerate Arbitrage Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accelerate Arbitrage

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accelerate Arbitrage. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.8626.3026.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.8226.2626.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
25.8826.3326.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
26.0026.2226.45
Details

Accelerate Arbitrage Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accelerate Arbitrage is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accelerate Arbitrage's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accelerate Arbitrage, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accelerate Arbitrage within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.01
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.12
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Accelerate Arbitrage Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accelerate Arbitrage for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accelerate Arbitrage can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Accelerate Arbitrage Technical Analysis

Accelerate Arbitrage's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accelerate Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accelerate Arbitrage. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accelerate Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accelerate Arbitrage Predictive Forecast Models

Accelerate Arbitrage's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accelerate Arbitrage's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accelerate Arbitrage's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Accelerate Arbitrage

Checking the ongoing alerts about Accelerate Arbitrage for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accelerate Arbitrage help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds all of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Accelerate Etf

Accelerate Arbitrage financial ratios help investors to determine whether Accelerate Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Accelerate with respect to the benefits of owning Accelerate Arbitrage security.