Arc Funds (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0948
| ARC Stock | 0.13 0.01 8.33% |
Arc |
Arc Funds Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0948
The tendency of Arc Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.09 in 90 days |
| 0.13 | 90 days | 0.09 | about 60.21 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arc Funds to stay above 0.09 in 90 days from now is about 60.21 (This Arc Funds probability density function shows the probability of Arc Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arc Funds price to stay between 0.09 and its current price of 0.13 at the end of the 90-day period is about 60.19 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arc Funds has a beta of -0.16. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Arc Funds are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Arc Funds is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Arc Funds has an alpha of 0.481, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Arc Funds Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arc Funds
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arc Funds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arc Funds Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arc Funds is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arc Funds' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arc Funds, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arc Funds within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Arc Funds Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arc Funds for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arc Funds can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arc Funds has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (742.82 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.04 K. | |
| Arc Funds generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ARC Funds Insider Confidence Rewarded, Stock Hits AU4.9m Market Cap - Simply Wall St |
Arc Funds Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arc Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arc Funds' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arc Funds' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 32.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.2 M |
Arc Funds Technical Analysis
Arc Funds' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arc Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arc Funds. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arc Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arc Funds Predictive Forecast Models
Arc Funds' time-series forecasting models is one of many Arc Funds' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arc Funds' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arc Funds
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arc Funds for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arc Funds help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arc Funds has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Net Loss for the year was (742.82 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 80.04 K. | |
| Arc Funds generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: ARC Funds Insider Confidence Rewarded, Stock Hits AU4.9m Market Cap - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Arc Stock Analysis
When running Arc Funds' price analysis, check to measure Arc Funds' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arc Funds is operating at the current time. Most of Arc Funds' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arc Funds' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arc Funds' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arc Funds to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.