Arc Document Solutions Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.39

ARC Stock  USD 3.39  0.01  0.29%   
ARC Document's future price is the expected price of ARC Document instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ARC Document Solutions performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ARC Document Backtesting, ARC Document Valuation, ARC Document Correlation, ARC Document Hype Analysis, ARC Document Volatility, ARC Document History as well as ARC Document Performance.
  
At present, ARC Document's Price To Book Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Price Fair Value is expected to grow to 0.95, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is forecasted to decline to 0.47. Please specify ARC Document's target price for which you would like ARC Document odds to be computed.

ARC Document Target Price Odds to finish over 3.39

The tendency of ARC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.39 90 days 3.39 
about 26.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ARC Document to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.23 (This ARC Document Solutions probability density function shows the probability of ARC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon ARC Document has a beta of 0.0579. This suggests as returns on the market go up, ARC Document average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ARC Document Solutions will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ARC Document Solutions has an alpha of 0.2151, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ARC Document Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ARC Document

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ARC Document Solutions. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.303.394.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.224.315.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.313.404.49
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
4.785.255.83
Details

ARC Document Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ARC Document is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ARC Document's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ARC Document Solutions, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ARC Document within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
0.11
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

ARC Document Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ARC Document for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ARC Document Solutions can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARC Document has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dino Rizzo Hosts Pastor Matthew Barnett of the LA Dream Center on Recent Episode of Unscripted Podcast

ARC Document Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ARC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ARC Document's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ARC Document's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding43.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments56.1 M

ARC Document Technical Analysis

ARC Document's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ARC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ARC Document Solutions. In general, you should focus on analyzing ARC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ARC Document Predictive Forecast Models

ARC Document's time-series forecasting models is one of many ARC Document's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ARC Document's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ARC Document Solutions

Checking the ongoing alerts about ARC Document for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ARC Document Solutions help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ARC Document has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Dino Rizzo Hosts Pastor Matthew Barnett of the LA Dream Center on Recent Episode of Unscripted Podcast
When determining whether ARC Document Solutions offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ARC Document's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Arc Document Solutions Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Arc Document Solutions Stock:
Is Commercial Services & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ARC Document. If investors know ARC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ARC Document listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Dividend Share
0.2
Earnings Share
0.11
Revenue Per Share
6.832
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.048
The market value of ARC Document Solutions is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ARC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ARC Document's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ARC Document's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ARC Document's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ARC Document's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ARC Document's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ARC Document is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ARC Document's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.