Imotrust (Romania) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.05

ARCV Stock   0.11  0.01  8.33%   
Imotrust's future price is the expected price of Imotrust instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Imotrust SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Imotrust Backtesting, Imotrust Valuation, Imotrust Correlation, Imotrust Hype Analysis, Imotrust Volatility, Imotrust History as well as Imotrust Performance.
  
Please specify Imotrust's target price for which you would like Imotrust odds to be computed.

Imotrust Target Price Odds to finish over 4.05

The tendency of Imotrust Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  4.05  or more in 90 days
 0.11 90 days 4.05 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Imotrust to move over  4.05  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Imotrust SA probability density function shows the probability of Imotrust Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Imotrust SA price to stay between its current price of  0.11  and  4.05  at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Imotrust has a beta of 0.71. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Imotrust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Imotrust SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Imotrust SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Imotrust Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Imotrust

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Imotrust SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.114.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.094.17
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.124.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.110.120.13
Details

Imotrust Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Imotrust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Imotrust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Imotrust SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Imotrust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.71
σ
Overall volatility
0
Ir
Information ratio -0.01

Imotrust Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Imotrust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Imotrust SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Imotrust SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Imotrust SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Imotrust Technical Analysis

Imotrust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Imotrust Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Imotrust SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Imotrust Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Imotrust Predictive Forecast Models

Imotrust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Imotrust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Imotrust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Imotrust SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Imotrust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Imotrust SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Imotrust SA has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Imotrust SA had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Imotrust Stock

Imotrust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Imotrust Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Imotrust with respect to the benefits of owning Imotrust security.