Archer Dividend Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 27.36
| ARDGX Fund | USD 27.89 0.12 0.43% |
Archer |
Archer Dividend Target Price Odds to finish below 27.36
The tendency of Archer Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 27.36 or more in 90 days |
| 27.89 | 90 days | 27.36 | about 59.91 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archer Dividend to drop to $ 27.36 or more in 90 days from now is about 59.91 (This Archer Dividend Growth probability density function shows the probability of Archer Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Archer Dividend Growth price to stay between $ 27.36 and its current price of $27.89 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.91 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Archer Dividend has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Archer Dividend average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Archer Dividend Growth will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Archer Dividend Growth has an alpha of 0.0, implying that it can generate a 3.6E-5 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Archer Dividend Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Archer Dividend
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archer Dividend Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Archer Dividend Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archer Dividend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archer Dividend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archer Dividend Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archer Dividend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.000036 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.37 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Archer Dividend Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archer Dividend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archer Dividend Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The fund holds 97.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Archer Dividend Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Archer Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Archer Dividend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archer Dividend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Archer Dividend Technical Analysis
Archer Dividend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archer Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archer Dividend Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archer Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Archer Dividend Predictive Forecast Models
Archer Dividend's time-series forecasting models is one of many Archer Dividend's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Archer Dividend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Archer Dividend Growth
Checking the ongoing alerts about Archer Dividend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archer Dividend Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| The fund holds 97.19% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities |
Other Information on Investing in Archer Mutual Fund
Archer Dividend financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archer Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archer with respect to the benefits of owning Archer Dividend security.
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| Analyst Advice Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories | |
| Global Correlations Find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets | |
| Portfolio Diagnostics Use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings |