American Resources Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.34
| AREC Stock | USD 1.19 0.06 4.80% |
American |
American Resources Target Price Odds to finish below 1.34
The tendency of American Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 1.34 after 90 days |
| 1.19 | 90 days | 1.34 | roughly 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Resources to stay under $ 1.34 after 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This American Resources Corp probability density function shows the probability of American Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Resources Corp price to stay between its current price of $ 1.19 and $ 1.34 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.46 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Resources has a beta of 1.0. This suggests American Resources Corp market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, American Resources is expected to follow. Moreover American Resources Corp has an alpha of 1.298, implying that it can generate a 1.3 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Resources Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for American Resources
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Resources Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Resources' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Resources Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Resources is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Resources' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Resources Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Resources within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.30 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.25 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.22 |
American Resources Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Resources for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Resources Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Resources may become a speculative penny stock | |
| American Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.46 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (639.79 K). | |
| American Resources Corp currently holds about 3.81 M in cash with (14.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| American Resources has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: American Resources Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
American Resources Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of American Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential American Resources' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Resources' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 75.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 M |
American Resources Technical Analysis
American Resources' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Resources Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Resources Predictive Forecast Models
American Resources' time-series forecasting models is one of many American Resources' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Resources' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Resources Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Resources for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Resources Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Resources is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| American Resources may become a speculative penny stock | |
| American Resources appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 16.74 M. Net Loss for the year was (11.46 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (639.79 K). | |
| American Resources Corp currently holds about 3.81 M in cash with (14.52 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06. | |
| American Resources has a very weak financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 35.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: American Resources Corporation Reports Earnings Results for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended September 30, 2024 - Marketscreener.com |
Check out American Resources Backtesting, American Resources Valuation, American Resources Correlation, American Resources Hype Analysis, American Resources Volatility, American Resources History as well as American Resources Performance. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Oil, Gas & Consumable Fuels space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Resources. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Resources listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.25) | Revenue Per Share 0.079 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (1.00) | Return On Assets (0.09) | Return On Equity (45.05) |
The market value of American Resources Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Resources' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Resources' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Resources' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Resources' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Resources' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Resources is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Resources' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.