Argo Pantes (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1110.0
| ARGO Stock | IDR 975.00 10.00 1.04% |
Argo |
Argo Pantes Target Price Odds to finish below 1110.0
The tendency of Argo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 1,110 after 90 days |
| 975.00 | 90 days | 1,110 | about 34.86 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Argo Pantes to stay under 1,110 after 90 days from now is about 34.86 (This Argo Pantes Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Argo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Argo Pantes Tbk price to stay between its current price of 975.00 and 1,110 at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.81 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Argo Pantes has a beta of 0.0025. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Argo Pantes average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Argo Pantes Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Argo Pantes Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Argo Pantes Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Argo Pantes
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Argo Pantes Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Argo Pantes Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Argo Pantes is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Argo Pantes' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Argo Pantes Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Argo Pantes within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.66 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 152.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
Argo Pantes Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Argo Pantes for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Argo Pantes Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Argo Pantes Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Argo Pantes Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Argo Pantes Tbk has accumulated 739.55 B in total debt. Argo Pantes Tbk has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Argo Pantes until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Argo Pantes' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Argo Pantes Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Argo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Argo Pantes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.99 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.85 M). | |
| Argo Pantes Tbk has accumulated about 31.54 K in cash with (710.09 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Argo Pantes Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Argo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Argo Pantes' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Argo Pantes' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 335.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Argo Pantes Technical Analysis
Argo Pantes' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Argo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Argo Pantes Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Argo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Argo Pantes Predictive Forecast Models
Argo Pantes' time-series forecasting models is one of many Argo Pantes' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Argo Pantes' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Argo Pantes Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Argo Pantes for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Argo Pantes Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Argo Pantes Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Argo Pantes Tbk has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Argo Pantes Tbk has accumulated 739.55 B in total debt. Argo Pantes Tbk has a current ratio of 0.05, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Argo Pantes until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Argo Pantes' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Argo Pantes Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Argo to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Argo Pantes' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 4.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.99 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (1.85 M). | |
| Argo Pantes Tbk has accumulated about 31.54 K in cash with (710.09 K) of positive cash flow from operations. | |
| Roughly 57.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Argo Stock
Argo Pantes financial ratios help investors to determine whether Argo Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Argo with respect to the benefits of owning Argo Pantes security.