Archon Stock Chance of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 17.68
| ARHN Stock | USD 17.40 0.00 0.00% |
Archon |
Archon Target Price Odds to finish below 17.68
The tendency of Archon Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 17.68 after 90 days |
| 17.40 | 90 days | 17.68 | about 46.84 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Archon to stay under $ 17.68 after 90 days from now is about 46.84 (This Archon probability density function shows the probability of Archon Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Archon price to stay between its current price of $ 17.40 and $ 17.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.22 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Archon has a beta of 0.0028. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Archon average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Archon will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Archon has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Archon Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Archon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Archon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Archon Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Archon is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Archon's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Archon, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Archon within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Archon Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Archon for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Archon can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Archon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Archon currently holds about 28.32 M in cash with (1.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.89. |
Archon Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Archon Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Archon's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Archon's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.4 M |
Archon Technical Analysis
Archon's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Archon Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Archon. In general, you should focus on analyzing Archon Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Archon Predictive Forecast Models
Archon's time-series forecasting models is one of many Archon's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Archon's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Archon
Checking the ongoing alerts about Archon for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Archon help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Archon generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Archon currently holds about 28.32 M in cash with (1.36 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.89. |
Other Information on Investing in Archon Pink Sheet
Archon financial ratios help investors to determine whether Archon Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Archon with respect to the benefits of owning Archon security.