INTRA ENERGY (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.3744
| ARI Stock | 0.39 0.01 2.50% |
INTRA |
INTRA ENERGY Target Price Odds to finish over 0.3744
The tendency of INTRA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 0.37 in 90 days |
| 0.39 | 90 days | 0.37 | about 64.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of INTRA ENERGY to stay above 0.37 in 90 days from now is about 64.12 (This INTRA ENERGY probability density function shows the probability of INTRA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of INTRA ENERGY price to stay between 0.37 and its current price of 0.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon INTRA ENERGY has a beta of -2.26. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding INTRA ENERGY are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, INTRA ENERGY is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally INTRA ENERGY has an alpha of 0.4111, implying that it can generate a 0.41 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). INTRA ENERGY Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for INTRA ENERGY
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as INTRA ENERGY. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.INTRA ENERGY Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. INTRA ENERGY is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the INTRA ENERGY's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold INTRA ENERGY, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of INTRA ENERGY within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -2.26 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.06 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.001 |
INTRA ENERGY Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of INTRA ENERGY for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for INTRA ENERGY can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| INTRA ENERGY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| INTRA ENERGY has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
INTRA ENERGY Technical Analysis
INTRA ENERGY's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. INTRA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of INTRA ENERGY. In general, you should focus on analyzing INTRA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
INTRA ENERGY Predictive Forecast Models
INTRA ENERGY's time-series forecasting models is one of many INTRA ENERGY's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary INTRA ENERGY's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about INTRA ENERGY
Checking the ongoing alerts about INTRA ENERGY for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for INTRA ENERGY help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| INTRA ENERGY had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| INTRA ENERGY has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Other Information on Investing in INTRA Stock
INTRA ENERGY financial ratios help investors to determine whether INTRA Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in INTRA with respect to the benefits of owning INTRA ENERGY security.