Arko Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.5
| ARKOW Stock | USD 0.51 0.02 4.08% |
Arko |
Arko Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 0.5
The tendency of Arko Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.50 in 90 days |
| 0.51 | 90 days | 0.50 | about 40.87 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arko Corp to stay above $ 0.50 in 90 days from now is about 40.87 (This Arko Corp probability density function shows the probability of Arko Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arko Corp price to stay between $ 0.50 and its current price of $0.51 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.96 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Arko Corp has a beta of -3.47. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Arko Corp are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Arko Corp is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Arko Corp has an alpha of 2.1272, implying that it can generate a 2.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Arko Corp Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arko Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arko Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arko Corp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arko Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arko Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arko Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arko Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 2.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -3.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.13 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Arko Corp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arko Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arko Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arko Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Arko Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arko Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Arko Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MSD Partners, L.P. Acquires New Stake in ARKO Corp - GuruFocus.com |
Arko Corp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arko Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arko Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arko Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 222 M |
Arko Corp Technical Analysis
Arko Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arko Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arko Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arko Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arko Corp Predictive Forecast Models
Arko Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arko Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arko Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arko Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arko Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arko Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arko Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Arko Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Arko Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Arko Corp has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: MSD Partners, L.P. Acquires New Stake in ARKO Corp - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Arko Stock Analysis
When running Arko Corp's price analysis, check to measure Arko Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arko Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Arko Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arko Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arko Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arko Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.