Arena Hospitality (Croatia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 31.24
| ARNT Stock | 31.80 0.40 1.24% |
Arena |
Arena Hospitality Target Price Odds to finish below 31.24
The tendency of Arena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 31.24 or more in 90 days |
| 31.80 | 90 days | 31.24 | about 5.25 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arena Hospitality to drop to 31.24 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.25 (This Arena Hospitality Group probability density function shows the probability of Arena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arena Hospitality price to stay between 31.24 and its current price of 31.8 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arena Hospitality has a beta of 0.028. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Arena Hospitality average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Arena Hospitality Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Arena Hospitality Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Arena Hospitality Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arena Hospitality
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arena Hospitality. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Arena Hospitality Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arena Hospitality is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arena Hospitality's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arena Hospitality Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arena Hospitality within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.69 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Arena Hospitality Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arena Hospitality for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arena Hospitality can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arena Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Arena Hospitality Technical Analysis
Arena Hospitality's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arena Hospitality Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arena Hospitality Predictive Forecast Models
Arena Hospitality's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arena Hospitality's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arena Hospitality's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arena Hospitality
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arena Hospitality for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arena Hospitality help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arena Hospitality generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Additional Tools for Arena Stock Analysis
When running Arena Hospitality's price analysis, check to measure Arena Hospitality's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arena Hospitality is operating at the current time. Most of Arena Hospitality's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arena Hospitality's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arena Hospitality's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arena Hospitality to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.