Aurora Investment (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 252.4
| ARR Stock | 231.00 2.00 0.86% |
Aurora |
Aurora Investment Target Price Odds to finish below 252.4
The tendency of Aurora Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 252.40 after 90 days |
| 231.00 | 90 days | 252.40 | about 81.49 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aurora Investment to stay under 252.40 after 90 days from now is about 81.49 (This Aurora Investment Trust probability density function shows the probability of Aurora Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aurora Investment Trust price to stay between its current price of 231.00 and 252.40 at the end of the 90-day period is about 78.13 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aurora Investment has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aurora Investment average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aurora Investment Trust will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aurora Investment Trust has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aurora Investment Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aurora Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aurora Investment Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aurora Investment Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aurora Investment is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aurora Investment's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aurora Investment Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aurora Investment within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
Aurora Investment Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aurora Investment for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aurora Investment Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aurora Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aurora Investment is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Shares Sold by Aurora Investment Counsel - MarketBeat |
Aurora Investment Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aurora Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aurora Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aurora Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 76.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 M |
Aurora Investment Technical Analysis
Aurora Investment's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aurora Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aurora Investment Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aurora Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aurora Investment Predictive Forecast Models
Aurora Investment's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aurora Investment's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aurora Investment's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aurora Investment Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aurora Investment for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aurora Investment Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aurora Investment generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Aurora Investment is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. Shares Sold by Aurora Investment Counsel - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Aurora Stock
Aurora Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aurora Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aurora with respect to the benefits of owning Aurora Investment security.