American Nortel Communications Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.0231
| ARTM Stock | USD 0.02 0 8.61% |
American |
American Nortel Target Price Odds to finish below 0.0231
The tendency of American Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | roughly 2.2 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of American Nortel to drop to $ 0.02 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.2 (This American Nortel Communications probability density function shows the probability of American Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of American Nortel Comm price to stay between $ 0.02 and its current price of $0.0244 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.74 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days American Nortel has a beta of 0.18. This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Nortel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Nortel Communications will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally American Nortel Communications has an alpha of 0.0875, implying that it can generate a 0.0875 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). American Nortel Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for American Nortel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Nortel Comm. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Nortel's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
American Nortel Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. American Nortel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the American Nortel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold American Nortel Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of American Nortel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0018 |
American Nortel Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of American Nortel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for American Nortel Comm can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| American Nortel Comm has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Nortel Comm had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| American Nortel Comm has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (26.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 M. |
American Nortel Technical Analysis
American Nortel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. American Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of American Nortel Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing American Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
American Nortel Predictive Forecast Models
American Nortel's time-series forecasting models is one of many American Nortel's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary American Nortel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about American Nortel Comm
Checking the ongoing alerts about American Nortel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for American Nortel Comm help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| American Nortel Comm has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| American Nortel Comm had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| American Nortel Comm has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (26.1 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.3 M. |
Other Information on Investing in American Pink Sheet
American Nortel financial ratios help investors to determine whether American Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in American with respect to the benefits of owning American Nortel security.