Asphere Innovations (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.51
| AS Stock | 3.68 0.16 4.55% |
Asphere |
Asphere Innovations Target Price Odds to finish over 3.51
The tendency of Asphere Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 3.51 in 90 days |
| 3.68 | 90 days | 3.51 | about 90.47 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Asphere Innovations to stay above 3.51 in 90 days from now is about 90.47 (This Asphere Innovations Public probability density function shows the probability of Asphere Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Asphere Innovations price to stay between 3.51 and its current price of 3.68 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.34 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Asphere Innovations Public has a beta of -1.1. This suggests Additionally Asphere Innovations Public has an alpha of 0.2435, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Asphere Innovations Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Asphere Innovations
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Asphere Innovations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Asphere Innovations Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Asphere Innovations is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Asphere Innovations' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Asphere Innovations Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Asphere Innovations within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.1 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.55 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0007 |
Asphere Innovations Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Asphere Innovations for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Asphere Innovations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Asphere Innovations had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Asphere Innovations Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Asphere Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Asphere Innovations' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asphere Innovations' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 456.4 M |
Asphere Innovations Technical Analysis
Asphere Innovations' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Asphere Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Asphere Innovations Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing Asphere Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Asphere Innovations Predictive Forecast Models
Asphere Innovations' time-series forecasting models is one of many Asphere Innovations' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Asphere Innovations' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Asphere Innovations
Checking the ongoing alerts about Asphere Innovations for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Asphere Innovations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Asphere Innovations had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Asphere Stock
Asphere Innovations financial ratios help investors to determine whether Asphere Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Asphere with respect to the benefits of owning Asphere Innovations security.