Sendas Distribuidora (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.46
| ASAI3 Stock | BRL 6.47 0.13 2.05% |
Sendas |
Sendas Distribuidora Target Price Odds to finish over 23.46
The tendency of Sendas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 23.46 or more in 90 days |
| 6.47 | 90 days | 23.46 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Sendas Distribuidora to move over R$ 23.46 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Sendas Distribuidora SA probability density function shows the probability of Sendas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Sendas Distribuidora price to stay between its current price of R$ 6.47 and R$ 23.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.75 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Sendas Distribuidora SA has a beta of -0.13. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Sendas Distribuidora are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Sendas Distribuidora SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Sendas Distribuidora SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Sendas Distribuidora Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Sendas Distribuidora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sendas Distribuidora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sendas Distribuidora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Sendas Distribuidora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Sendas Distribuidora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Sendas Distribuidora SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Sendas Distribuidora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.48 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.75 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Sendas Distribuidora Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Sendas Distribuidora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Sendas Distribuidora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Sendas Distribuidora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sendas Distribuidora has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Sendas Distribuidora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Sendas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Sendas Distribuidora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sendas Distribuidora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.5 B |
Sendas Distribuidora Technical Analysis
Sendas Distribuidora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Sendas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Sendas Distribuidora SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Sendas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Sendas Distribuidora Predictive Forecast Models
Sendas Distribuidora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Sendas Distribuidora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Sendas Distribuidora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Sendas Distribuidora
Checking the ongoing alerts about Sendas Distribuidora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Sendas Distribuidora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Sendas Distribuidora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Sendas Distribuidora has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 41.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Sendas Stock Analysis
When running Sendas Distribuidora's price analysis, check to measure Sendas Distribuidora's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Sendas Distribuidora is operating at the current time. Most of Sendas Distribuidora's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Sendas Distribuidora's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Sendas Distribuidora's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Sendas Distribuidora to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.