Invesco Asia Pacific Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 32.59

ASIAX Fund  USD 30.27  0.33  1.08%   
Invesco Asia's future price is the expected price of Invesco Asia instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Invesco Asia Pacific performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Invesco Asia Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Invesco Asia Correlation, Invesco Asia Hype Analysis, Invesco Asia Volatility, Invesco Asia History as well as Invesco Asia Performance.
  
Please specify Invesco Asia's target price for which you would like Invesco Asia odds to be computed.

Invesco Asia Target Price Odds to finish over 32.59

The tendency of Invesco Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 32.59  or more in 90 days
 30.27 90 days 32.59 
roughly 2.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Invesco Asia to move over $ 32.59  or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.45 (This Invesco Asia Pacific probability density function shows the probability of Invesco Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Invesco Asia Pacific price to stay between its current price of $ 30.27  and $ 32.59  at the end of the 90-day period is about 64.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Invesco Asia has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Invesco Asia average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Invesco Asia Pacific will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Invesco Asia Pacific has an alpha of 0.0152, implying that it can generate a 0.0152 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Invesco Asia Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Invesco Asia

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Invesco Asia Pacific. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
29.3130.2731.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
29.4830.4431.40
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
29.8330.7931.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
29.1030.3031.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Invesco Asia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Invesco Asia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Invesco Asia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Invesco Asia Pacific.

Invesco Asia Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Invesco Asia is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Invesco Asia's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Invesco Asia Pacific, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Invesco Asia within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
0.96
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Invesco Asia Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Invesco Asia for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Invesco Asia Pacific can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Monolith Managements Impressive Return Beats Asian Fund Averages - Finimize
The fund holds about 7.34% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Invesco Asia Technical Analysis

Invesco Asia's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Invesco Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Invesco Asia Pacific. In general, you should focus on analyzing Invesco Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Invesco Asia Predictive Forecast Models

Invesco Asia's time-series forecasting models is one of many Invesco Asia's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Invesco Asia's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Invesco Asia Pacific

Checking the ongoing alerts about Invesco Asia for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Invesco Asia Pacific help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Monolith Managements Impressive Return Beats Asian Fund Averages - Finimize
The fund holds about 7.34% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash

Other Information on Investing in Invesco Mutual Fund

Invesco Asia financial ratios help investors to determine whether Invesco Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Invesco with respect to the benefits of owning Invesco Asia security.
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