Aberforth Smaller (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1208.42
| ASL Stock | 1,456 12.00 0.83% |
Aberforth |
Aberforth Smaller Target Price Odds to finish over 1208.42
The tendency of Aberforth Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above 1,208 in 90 days |
| 1,456 | 90 days | 1,208 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aberforth Smaller to stay above 1,208 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Aberforth Smaller Companies probability density function shows the probability of Aberforth Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Aberforth Smaller price to stay between 1,208 and its current price of 1456.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.63 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aberforth Smaller has a beta of 0.0185. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Aberforth Smaller average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Aberforth Smaller Companies will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Aberforth Smaller Companies has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Aberforth Smaller Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aberforth Smaller
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aberforth Smaller. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aberforth Smaller Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aberforth Smaller is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aberforth Smaller's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aberforth Smaller Companies, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aberforth Smaller within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.15 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 52.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.27 |
Aberforth Smaller Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aberforth Smaller for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aberforth Smaller can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aberforth Smaller generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust Share Price Passes Below 50-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Aberforth Smaller Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aberforth Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aberforth Smaller's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aberforth Smaller's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 84.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.7 M |
Aberforth Smaller Technical Analysis
Aberforth Smaller's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aberforth Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aberforth Smaller Companies. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aberforth Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aberforth Smaller Predictive Forecast Models
Aberforth Smaller's time-series forecasting models is one of many Aberforth Smaller's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aberforth Smaller's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aberforth Smaller
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aberforth Smaller for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aberforth Smaller help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aberforth Smaller generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Aberforth Smaller Companies Trust Share Price Passes Below 50-Day Moving Average - Should You Sell - MarketBeat |
Other Information on Investing in Aberforth Stock
Aberforth Smaller financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aberforth Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aberforth with respect to the benefits of owning Aberforth Smaller security.