Australian Strategic Materials Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Under 0.33
| ASMMF Stock | USD 0.33 0.02 5.71% |
Australian |
Australian Strategic Target Price Odds to finish below 0.33
The tendency of Australian Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 0.33 | 90 days | 0.33 | about 18.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Australian Strategic to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 18.07 (This Australian Strategic Materials probability density function shows the probability of Australian Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This suggests Australian Strategic Materials market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Australian Strategic is expected to follow. Additionally Australian Strategic Materials has an alpha of 0.2168, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Australian Strategic Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Australian Strategic
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Australian Strategic. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Australian Strategic Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Australian Strategic is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Australian Strategic's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Australian Strategic Materials, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Australian Strategic within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.03 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Australian Strategic Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Australian Strategic for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Australian Strategic can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Australian Strategic has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Strategic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.03 M. | |
| Australian Strategic Materials has accumulated about 60.22 M in cash with (37.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Australian Strategic Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Australian Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Australian Strategic's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Australian Strategic's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142 M | |
| Shares Float | 99.7 M |
Australian Strategic Technical Analysis
Australian Strategic's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Australian Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Australian Strategic Materials. In general, you should focus on analyzing Australian Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Australian Strategic Predictive Forecast Models
Australian Strategic's time-series forecasting models is one of many Australian Strategic's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Australian Strategic's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Australian Strategic
Checking the ongoing alerts about Australian Strategic for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Australian Strategic help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Australian Strategic has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Australian Strategic had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.87 M. Net Loss for the year was (24.27 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.03 M. | |
| Australian Strategic Materials has accumulated about 60.22 M in cash with (37.59 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.42, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Roughly 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Australian Pink Sheet
Australian Strategic financial ratios help investors to determine whether Australian Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Australian with respect to the benefits of owning Australian Strategic security.