Asos Plc Pk Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 14.78

ASOMY Stock  USD 4.58  0.01  0.22%   
ASOS Plc's future price is the expected price of ASOS Plc instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ASOS plc PK performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ASOS Plc Backtesting, ASOS Plc Valuation, ASOS Plc Correlation, ASOS Plc Hype Analysis, ASOS Plc Volatility, ASOS Plc History as well as ASOS Plc Performance.
  
Please specify ASOS Plc's target price for which you would like ASOS Plc odds to be computed.

ASOS Plc Target Price Odds to finish over 14.78

The tendency of ASOS Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 14.78  or more in 90 days
 4.58 90 days 14.78 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASOS Plc to move over $ 14.78  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ASOS plc PK probability density function shows the probability of ASOS Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASOS plc PK price to stay between its current price of $ 4.58  and $ 14.78  at the end of the 90-day period is about 86.43 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon ASOS plc PK has a beta of -0.77. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ASOS Plc are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ASOS plc PK is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ASOS plc PK has an alpha of 0.1524, implying that it can generate a 0.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   ASOS Plc Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ASOS Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASOS plc PK. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.124.588.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.614.077.53
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
1.254.708.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.574.584.59
Details

ASOS Plc Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASOS Plc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASOS Plc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASOS plc PK, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASOS Plc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.77
σ
Overall volatility
0.50
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

ASOS Plc Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASOS Plc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASOS plc PK can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASOS plc PK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 3.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.72 B.
ASOS plc PK has accumulated about 323 M in cash with (120.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.24.

ASOS Plc Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASOS Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASOS Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASOS Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding90.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments323 M

ASOS Plc Technical Analysis

ASOS Plc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASOS Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASOS plc PK. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASOS Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ASOS Plc Predictive Forecast Models

ASOS Plc's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASOS Plc's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASOS Plc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ASOS plc PK

Checking the ongoing alerts about ASOS Plc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASOS plc PK help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ASOS plc PK had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
The company reported the revenue of 3.94 B. Net Loss for the year was (9.8 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.72 B.
ASOS plc PK has accumulated about 323 M in cash with (120.4 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 3.24.

Additional Tools for ASOS Pink Sheet Analysis

When running ASOS Plc's price analysis, check to measure ASOS Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASOS Plc is operating at the current time. Most of ASOS Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASOS Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASOS Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASOS Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.