An Pha (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3,920
| ASP Stock | 4,100 10.00 0.24% |
ASP |
An Pha Target Price Odds to finish below 3,920
The tendency of ASP Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 4,100 | 90 days | 4,100 | about 55.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of An Pha to move below current price in 90 days from now is about 55.28 (This An Pha Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of ASP Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon An Pha has a beta of 0.0073. This suggests as returns on the market go up, An Pha average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding An Pha Petroleum will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally An Pha Petroleum has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. An Pha Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for An Pha
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as An Pha Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.An Pha Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. An Pha is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the An Pha's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold An Pha Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of An Pha within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 121.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
An Pha Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of An Pha for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for An Pha Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| An Pha Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
An Pha Technical Analysis
An Pha's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASP Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of An Pha Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASP Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
An Pha Predictive Forecast Models
An Pha's time-series forecasting models is one of many An Pha's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary An Pha's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about An Pha Petroleum
Checking the ongoing alerts about An Pha for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for An Pha Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| An Pha Petroleum generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in ASP Stock
An Pha financial ratios help investors to determine whether ASP Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ASP with respect to the benefits of owning An Pha security.