Andalan Sakti (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 190.89
| ASPI Stock | IDR 191.00 1.00 0.52% |
Andalan |
Andalan Sakti Target Price Odds to finish below 190.89
The tendency of Andalan Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 190.89 or more in 90 days |
| 191.00 | 90 days | 190.89 | about 11.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Andalan Sakti to drop to 190.89 or more in 90 days from now is about 11.0 (This Andalan Sakti Primaindo probability density function shows the probability of Andalan Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Andalan Sakti Primaindo price to stay between 190.89 and its current price of 191.0 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Andalan Sakti has a beta of 0.28. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Andalan Sakti average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Andalan Sakti Primaindo will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Andalan Sakti Primaindo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Andalan Sakti Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Andalan Sakti
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Andalan Sakti Primaindo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Andalan Sakti Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Andalan Sakti is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Andalan Sakti's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Andalan Sakti Primaindo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Andalan Sakti within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.28 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 82.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
Andalan Sakti Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Andalan Sakti for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Andalan Sakti Primaindo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Andalan Sakti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Andalan Sakti has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (816.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.01 B. | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Andalan Sakti Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Andalan Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Andalan Sakti's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Andalan Sakti's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 681.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.6 B |
Andalan Sakti Technical Analysis
Andalan Sakti's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Andalan Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Andalan Sakti Primaindo. In general, you should focus on analyzing Andalan Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Andalan Sakti Predictive Forecast Models
Andalan Sakti's time-series forecasting models is one of many Andalan Sakti's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Andalan Sakti's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Andalan Sakti Primaindo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Andalan Sakti for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Andalan Sakti Primaindo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Andalan Sakti generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Andalan Sakti has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the revenue of 12.22 B. Net Loss for the year was (816.31 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.01 B. | |
| About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Andalan Stock
Andalan Sakti financial ratios help investors to determine whether Andalan Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Andalan with respect to the benefits of owning Andalan Sakti security.