Alpha Astika (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 5.56

ASTAK Stock  EUR 6.92  0.06  0.86%   
Alpha Astika's future price is the expected price of Alpha Astika instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alpha Astika Akinita performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alpha Astika Backtesting, Alpha Astika Valuation, Alpha Astika Correlation, Alpha Astika Hype Analysis, Alpha Astika Volatility, Alpha Astika History as well as Alpha Astika Performance.
  
Please specify Alpha Astika's target price for which you would like Alpha Astika odds to be computed.

Alpha Astika Target Price Odds to finish below 5.56

The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 5.56  or more in 90 days
 6.92 90 days 5.56 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Astika to drop to € 5.56  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alpha Astika Akinita probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpha Astika Akinita price to stay between € 5.56  and its current price of €6.92 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.4 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alpha Astika has a beta of 0.17. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alpha Astika average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alpha Astika Akinita will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alpha Astika Akinita has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Alpha Astika Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alpha Astika

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Astika Akinita. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.466.928.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.567.028.48
Details

Alpha Astika Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Astika is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Astika's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Astika Akinita, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Astika within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.17
σ
Overall volatility
0.13
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Alpha Astika Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Astika for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Astika Akinita can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Astika Akinita generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Alpha Astika Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Astika's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Astika's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14 M
Forward Annual Dividend Rate3.42

Alpha Astika Technical Analysis

Alpha Astika's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Astika Akinita. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alpha Astika Predictive Forecast Models

Alpha Astika's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Astika's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Astika's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alpha Astika Akinita

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Astika for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Astika Akinita help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Alpha Astika Akinita generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 92.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Alpha Stock

Alpha Astika financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpha with respect to the benefits of owning Alpha Astika security.