Atac Inflation Rotation Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 34.26
| ATACX Fund | USD 34.29 0.75 2.24% |
Atac |
Atac Inflation Target Price Odds to finish over 34.26
The tendency of Atac Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 34.26 in 90 days |
| 34.29 | 90 days | 34.26 | about 16.43 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atac Inflation to stay above $ 34.26 in 90 days from now is about 16.43 (This Atac Inflation Rotation probability density function shows the probability of Atac Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atac Inflation Rotation price to stay between $ 34.26 and its current price of $34.29 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.49 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Atac Inflation will likely underperform. Additionally Atac Inflation Rotation has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Atac Inflation Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atac Inflation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atac Inflation Rotation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atac Inflation's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atac Inflation Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atac Inflation is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atac Inflation's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atac Inflation Rotation, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atac Inflation within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.24 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.49 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.31 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.12 |
Atac Inflation Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atac Inflation for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atac Inflation Rotation can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atac Inflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -9.0% | |
| Atac Inflation Rotation holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Atac Inflation Technical Analysis
Atac Inflation's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atac Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atac Inflation Rotation. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atac Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atac Inflation Predictive Forecast Models
Atac Inflation's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atac Inflation's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atac Inflation's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atac Inflation Rotation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atac Inflation for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atac Inflation Rotation help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atac Inflation generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund generated three year return of -9.0% | |
| Atac Inflation Rotation holds most of the assets under management (AUM) in different types of exotic instruments. |
Other Information on Investing in Atac Mutual Fund
Atac Inflation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atac Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atac with respect to the benefits of owning Atac Inflation security.
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