Ata Gayrimenkul (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 12.81
| ATAGY Stock | TRY 11.22 0.33 2.86% |
Ata |
Ata Gayrimenkul Target Price Odds to finish below 12.81
The tendency of Ata Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 12.81 after 90 days |
| 11.22 | 90 days | 12.81 | under 95 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Ata Gayrimenkul to stay under 12.81 after 90 days from now is under 95 (This Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim probability density function shows the probability of Ata Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim price to stay between its current price of 11.22 and 12.81 at the end of the 90-day period is about 48.2 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a beta of -0.0085. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Ata Gayrimenkul are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim has an alpha of 0.1161, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Ata Gayrimenkul Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Ata Gayrimenkul
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ata Gayrimenkul's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ata Gayrimenkul Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Ata Gayrimenkul is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Ata Gayrimenkul's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Ata Gayrimenkul within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.0085 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.93 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.0002 |
Ata Gayrimenkul Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Ata Gayrimenkul for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Ata Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 108.49 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ata Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ata Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ata to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ata Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 25.0% of Ata Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders |
Ata Gayrimenkul Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Ata Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Ata Gayrimenkul's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ata Gayrimenkul's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.5 M |
Ata Gayrimenkul Technical Analysis
Ata Gayrimenkul's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Ata Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim. In general, you should focus on analyzing Ata Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Ata Gayrimenkul Predictive Forecast Models
Ata Gayrimenkul's time-series forecasting models is one of many Ata Gayrimenkul's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Ata Gayrimenkul's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim
Checking the ongoing alerts about Ata Gayrimenkul for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Ata Gayrimenkul had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim has accumulated 108.49 K in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.55, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim has a current ratio of 0.01, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Ata Gayrimenkul until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Ata Gayrimenkul's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Ata Gayrimenkul Yatirim sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Ata to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Ata Gayrimenkul's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 25.0% of Ata Gayrimenkul shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Ata Stock
Ata Gayrimenkul financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ata Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ata with respect to the benefits of owning Ata Gayrimenkul security.