Atour Lifestyle Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 17.19
| ATAT Stock | 24.83 0.17 0.68% |
Atour |
Atour Lifestyle Target Price Odds to finish below 17.19
The tendency of Atour Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 17.19 or more in 90 days |
| 24.83 | 90 days | 17.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atour Lifestyle to drop to 17.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Atour Lifestyle Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Atour Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atour Lifestyle Holdings price to stay between 17.19 and its current price of 24.83 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.73 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Atour Lifestyle Holdings has a beta of -0.0409. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atour Lifestyle are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atour Lifestyle Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atour Lifestyle Holdings has an alpha of 0.4855, implying that it can generate a 0.49 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atour Lifestyle Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Atour Lifestyle
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atour Lifestyle Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atour Lifestyle Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atour Lifestyle is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atour Lifestyle's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atour Lifestyle Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atour Lifestyle within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.49 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Atour Lifestyle Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atour Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atour Lifestyle's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atour Lifestyle's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 138.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Atour Lifestyle Technical Analysis
Atour Lifestyle's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atour Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atour Lifestyle Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atour Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atour Lifestyle Predictive Forecast Models
Atour Lifestyle's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atour Lifestyle's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atour Lifestyle's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Atour Lifestyle in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Atour Lifestyle's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Atour Lifestyle options trading.
Additional Tools for Atour Stock Analysis
When running Atour Lifestyle's price analysis, check to measure Atour Lifestyle's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atour Lifestyle is operating at the current time. Most of Atour Lifestyle's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atour Lifestyle's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atour Lifestyle's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atour Lifestyle to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.