Anchor Risk Managed Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.64
| ATCAX Fund | USD 8.66 0.02 0.23% |
Anchor |
Anchor Risk Target Price Odds to finish below 8.64
The tendency of Anchor Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 8.64 or more in 90 days |
| 8.66 | 90 days | 8.64 | about 70.48 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Anchor Risk to drop to $ 8.64 or more in 90 days from now is about 70.48 (This Anchor Risk Managed probability density function shows the probability of Anchor Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Anchor Risk Managed price to stay between $ 8.64 and its current price of $8.66 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.14 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Anchor Risk Managed has a beta of -0.0354. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Anchor Risk are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Anchor Risk Managed is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Anchor Risk Managed has an alpha of 0.0253, implying that it can generate a 0.0253 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Anchor Risk Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Anchor Risk
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Anchor Risk Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Anchor Risk Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Anchor Risk is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Anchor Risk's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Anchor Risk Managed, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Anchor Risk within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.23 |
Anchor Risk Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Anchor Risk for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Anchor Risk Managed can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Anchor Risk Managed generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund holds about 15.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Anchor Risk Technical Analysis
Anchor Risk's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Anchor Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Anchor Risk Managed. In general, you should focus on analyzing Anchor Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Anchor Risk Predictive Forecast Models
Anchor Risk's time-series forecasting models is one of many Anchor Risk's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Anchor Risk's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Anchor Risk Managed
Checking the ongoing alerts about Anchor Risk for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Anchor Risk Managed help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Anchor Risk Managed generated five year return of -1.0% | |
| This fund holds about 15.78% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Other Information on Investing in Anchor Mutual Fund
Anchor Risk financial ratios help investors to determine whether Anchor Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Anchor with respect to the benefits of owning Anchor Risk security.
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Price Exposure Probability Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets |