Atlasclear Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.2434

ATCH Stock  USD 0.24  0.01  2.76%   
AtlasClear Holdings' future price is the expected price of AtlasClear Holdings instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of AtlasClear Holdings performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out AtlasClear Holdings Analysis, AtlasClear Holdings Valuation, AtlasClear Holdings Correlation, AtlasClear Holdings Hype Analysis, AtlasClear Holdings Volatility, AtlasClear Holdings Price History as well as AtlasClear Holdings Performance.
For more detail on how to invest in AtlasClear Stock please use our How to Invest in AtlasClear Holdings guide.As of now, AtlasClear Holdings' Price Cash Flow Ratio is decreasing as compared to previous years. Please specify AtlasClear Holdings' target price for which you would like AtlasClear Holdings odds to be computed.

AtlasClear Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 0.2434

The tendency of AtlasClear Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.24 90 days 0.24 
about 91.51
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AtlasClear Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.51 (This AtlasClear Holdings probability density function shows the probability of AtlasClear Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.43 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AtlasClear Holdings will likely underperform. Additionally AtlasClear Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   AtlasClear Holdings Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for AtlasClear Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AtlasClear Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AtlasClear Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.255.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.235.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.225.12
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.240.260.29
Details

AtlasClear Holdings Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AtlasClear Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AtlasClear Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AtlasClear Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AtlasClear Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.82
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.43
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

AtlasClear Holdings Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AtlasClear Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AtlasClear Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AtlasClear Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AtlasClear Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AtlasClear Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AtlasClear Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AtlasClear Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
AtlasClear Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Recap Will AtlasClear Holdings Inc benefit from seasonality - Trade Analysis Report Weekly Watchlist of Top Performers - baoquankhu1.vn

AtlasClear Holdings Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AtlasClear Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AtlasClear Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AtlasClear Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingM
Cash And Short Term Investments7.5 B

AtlasClear Holdings Technical Analysis

AtlasClear Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AtlasClear Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AtlasClear Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing AtlasClear Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

AtlasClear Holdings Predictive Forecast Models

AtlasClear Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many AtlasClear Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AtlasClear Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about AtlasClear Holdings

Checking the ongoing alerts about AtlasClear Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AtlasClear Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
AtlasClear Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
AtlasClear Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
AtlasClear Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance
AtlasClear Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
AtlasClear Holdings has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
AtlasClear Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Latest headline from news.google.com: Investment Recap Will AtlasClear Holdings Inc benefit from seasonality - Trade Analysis Report Weekly Watchlist of Top Performers - baoquankhu1.vn
When determining whether AtlasClear Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of AtlasClear Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Atlasclear Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Atlasclear Holdings Stock:
Is there potential for Communications Equipment market expansion? Will AtlasClear introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AtlasClear Holdings. If investors know AtlasClear will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about AtlasClear Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(37.27)
Revenue Per Share
0.588
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.516
Return On Assets
(0.01)
Understanding AtlasClear Holdings requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects AtlasClear's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what AtlasClear Holdings' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push AtlasClear Holdings' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that AtlasClear Holdings' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AtlasClear Holdings represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, AtlasClear Holdings' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.