Auction Technology (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 449.50

ATG Stock   449.50  21.00  4.90%   
Auction Technology's future price is the expected price of Auction Technology instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Auction Technology Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Auction Technology Backtesting, Auction Technology Valuation, Auction Technology Correlation, Auction Technology Hype Analysis, Auction Technology Volatility, Auction Technology History as well as Auction Technology Performance.
  
Please specify Auction Technology's target price for which you would like Auction Technology odds to be computed.

Auction Technology Target Price Odds to finish over 449.50

The tendency of Auction Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 449.50 90 days 449.50 
about 19.27
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Auction Technology to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 19.27 (This Auction Technology Group probability density function shows the probability of Auction Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Auction Technology has a beta of 0.91. This suggests Auction Technology Group market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Auction Technology is expected to follow. Additionally Auction Technology Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Auction Technology Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Auction Technology

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Auction Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
446.48448.83451.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
433.36435.71494.45
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
420.49422.84425.20
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
7.177.517.92
Details

Auction Technology Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Auction Technology is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Auction Technology's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Auction Technology Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Auction Technology within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.09
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.91
σ
Overall volatility
26.42
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Auction Technology Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Auction Technology for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Auction Technology can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Auction Technology Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Auction Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Auction Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Auction Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding123.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.5 M

Auction Technology Technical Analysis

Auction Technology's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Auction Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Auction Technology Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Auction Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Auction Technology Predictive Forecast Models

Auction Technology's time-series forecasting models is one of many Auction Technology's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Auction Technology's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Auction Technology

Checking the ongoing alerts about Auction Technology for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Auction Technology help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 80.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies

Other Information on Investing in Auction Stock

Auction Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Auction Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Auction with respect to the benefits of owning Auction Technology security.