Altigen Communications Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 0.55
| ATGNDelisted Stock | USD 0.55 0.01 1.85% |
Altigen |
Altigen Communications Target Price Odds to finish over 0.55
The tendency of Altigen OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.55 | 90 days | 0.55 | over 95.79 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altigen Communications to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.79 (This Altigen Communications probability density function shows the probability of Altigen OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the otc stock has the beta coefficient of 1.31 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Altigen Communications will likely underperform. Additionally Altigen Communications has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Altigen Communications Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Altigen Communications
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altigen Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Altigen Communications Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altigen Communications is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altigen Communications' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altigen Communications, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altigen Communications within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.73 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.31 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Altigen Communications Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altigen Communications for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altigen Communications can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Altigen Communications is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Altigen Communications has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Altigen Communications has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (698 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.92 M. | |
| Altigen Communications currently holds about 6.82 M in cash with (18 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 3345 shares by Covert Harold L of Lumentum Holdings at 81.78 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Altigen Communications Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altigen OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altigen Communications' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altigen Communications' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.2 M |
Altigen Communications Technical Analysis
Altigen Communications' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altigen OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altigen Communications. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altigen OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Altigen Communications Predictive Forecast Models
Altigen Communications' time-series forecasting models is one of many Altigen Communications' otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altigen Communications' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Altigen Communications
Checking the ongoing alerts about Altigen Communications for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altigen Communications help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Altigen Communications is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Altigen Communications has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Altigen Communications has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 11.89 M. Net Loss for the year was (698 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.92 M. | |
| Altigen Communications currently holds about 6.82 M in cash with (18 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.29. | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Disposition of 3345 shares by Covert Harold L of Lumentum Holdings at 81.78 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. Note that the Altigen Communications information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Altigen Communications' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Other Consideration for investing in Altigen OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Altigen Communications check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Altigen Communications' history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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