Atland SA (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 40.88
| ATLD Stock | 44.00 0.20 0.45% |
Atland |
Atland SA Target Price Odds to finish below 40.88
The tendency of Atland Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 40.88 or more in 90 days |
| 44.00 | 90 days | 40.88 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atland SA to drop to 40.88 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Atland SA probability density function shows the probability of Atland Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atland SA price to stay between 40.88 and its current price of 44.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atland SA has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Atland SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Atland SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Atland SA has an alpha of 0.0214, implying that it can generate a 0.0214 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atland SA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Atland SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atland SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atland SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atland SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atland SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atland SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atland SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.76 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.13 |
Atland SA Technical Analysis
Atland SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atland Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atland SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atland Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atland SA Predictive Forecast Models
Atland SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atland SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atland SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Atland SA in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Atland SA's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Atland SA options trading.