Atlas Copco Ab Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 15.90

ATLFF Stock  USD 15.76  0.00  0.00%   
Atlas Copco's future price is the expected price of Atlas Copco instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atlas Copco AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atlas Copco Backtesting, Atlas Copco Valuation, Atlas Copco Correlation, Atlas Copco Hype Analysis, Atlas Copco Volatility, Atlas Copco History as well as Atlas Copco Performance.
  
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Atlas Copco Target Price Odds to finish over 15.90

The tendency of Atlas Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 15.90  or more in 90 days
 15.76 90 days 15.90 
about 8.69
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlas Copco to move over $ 15.90  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.69 (This Atlas Copco AB probability density function shows the probability of Atlas Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlas Copco AB price to stay between its current price of $ 15.76  and $ 15.90  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days horizon Atlas Copco has a beta of 0.11. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atlas Copco average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atlas Copco AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atlas Copco AB has an alpha of 0.2075, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atlas Copco Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atlas Copco

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas Copco AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
14.3315.7617.19
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.1817.4818.91
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Atlas Copco. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Atlas Copco's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Atlas Copco's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Atlas Copco AB.

Atlas Copco Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlas Copco is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlas Copco's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlas Copco AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlas Copco within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.21
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.11
σ
Overall volatility
0.75
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Atlas Copco Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atlas Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atlas Copco's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlas Copco's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.9 B

Atlas Copco Technical Analysis

Atlas Copco's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlas Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlas Copco AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlas Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atlas Copco Predictive Forecast Models

Atlas Copco's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlas Copco's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlas Copco's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Atlas Copco in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Atlas Copco's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Atlas Copco options trading.

Other Information on Investing in Atlas Pink Sheet

Atlas Copco financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atlas Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atlas with respect to the benefits of owning Atlas Copco security.