Atos SE (France) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.12
| ATO Stock | EUR 0.16 0.03 15.79% |
Atos |
Atos SE Target Price Odds to finish over 0.12
The tendency of Atos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.12 in 90 days |
| 0.16 | 90 days | 0.12 | about 14.63 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atos SE to stay above € 0.12 in 90 days from now is about 14.63 (This Atos SE probability density function shows the probability of Atos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atos SE price to stay between € 0.12 and its current price of €0.16 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.45 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atos SE has a beta of -217.65. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Atos SE are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Atos SE is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that Atos SE has an alpha of 148.5135, implying that it can generate a 148.51 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atos SE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atos SE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atos SE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atos SE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atos SE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atos SE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atos SE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atos SE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 148.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -217.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.12 |
Atos SE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atos SE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atos SE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atos SE is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Atos SE has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Atos SE appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Atos SE has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 408 M. |
Atos SE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atos SE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atos SE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 109 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 B |
Atos SE Technical Analysis
Atos SE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atos SE. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atos SE Predictive Forecast Models
Atos SE's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atos SE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atos SE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atos SE
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atos SE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atos SE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atos SE is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Atos SE has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Atos SE appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Atos SE has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| The company reported the revenue of 10.84 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.96 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 408 M. |
Other Information on Investing in Atos Stock
Atos SE financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atos Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atos with respect to the benefits of owning Atos SE security.