Atmos Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 151.27
| ATO Stock | USD 150.05 0.21 0.14% |
Atmos |
Atmos Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 151.27
The tendency of Atmos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 151.27 or more in 90 days |
| 150.05 | 90 days | 151.27 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atmos Energy to move over $ 151.27 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Atmos Energy probability density function shows the probability of Atmos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atmos Energy price to stay between its current price of $ 150.05 and $ 151.27 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Atmos Energy has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atmos Energy average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atmos Energy will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atmos Energy has an alpha of 0.1884, implying that it can generate a 0.19 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Atmos Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atmos Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atmos Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atmos Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atmos Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atmos Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atmos Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atmos Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atmos Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.19 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.23 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.15 |
Atmos Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atmos Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atmos Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atmos Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from techradar.com: Amazon unveils all-new Fire TV products, including an Omni mini-LED TV to take aim at Hisense and TCL, plus a Dolby Atmos soundbar |
Atmos Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atmos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atmos Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atmos Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 152.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 308.9 M |
Atmos Energy Technical Analysis
Atmos Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atmos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atmos Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atmos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atmos Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Atmos Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atmos Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atmos Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atmos Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atmos Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atmos Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atmos Energy has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from techradar.com: Amazon unveils all-new Fire TV products, including an Omni mini-LED TV to take aim at Hisense and TCL, plus a Dolby Atmos soundbar |
Check out Atmos Energy Backtesting, Atmos Energy Valuation, Atmos Energy Correlation, Atmos Energy Hype Analysis, Atmos Energy Volatility, Atmos Energy History as well as Atmos Energy Performance. To learn how to invest in Atmos Stock, please use our How to Invest in Atmos Energy guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Is Gas Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atmos Energy. If investors know Atmos will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atmos Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.148 | Earnings Share 6.84 | Revenue Per Share 27.161 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 | Return On Assets 0.0358 |
The market value of Atmos Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atmos that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atmos Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atmos Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atmos Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atmos Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atmos Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atmos Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atmos Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.