Atelierele CFR (Romania) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 46.92
| ATRD Stock | 51.50 2.50 5.10% |
Atelierele |
Atelierele CFR Target Price Odds to finish below 46.92
The tendency of Atelierele Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 46.92 or more in 90 days |
| 51.50 | 90 days | 46.92 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atelierele CFR to drop to 46.92 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Atelierele CFR Grivita probability density function shows the probability of Atelierele Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atelierele CFR Grivita price to stay between 46.92 and its current price of 51.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 54.88 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atelierele CFR has a beta of 0.21. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atelierele CFR average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atelierele CFR Grivita will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atelierele CFR Grivita has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Atelierele CFR Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Atelierele CFR
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atelierele CFR Grivita. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atelierele CFR Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atelierele CFR is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atelierele CFR's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atelierele CFR Grivita, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atelierele CFR within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.65 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Atelierele CFR Technical Analysis
Atelierele CFR's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atelierele Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atelierele CFR Grivita. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atelierele Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atelierele CFR Predictive Forecast Models
Atelierele CFR's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atelierele CFR's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atelierele CFR's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Atelierele CFR in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Atelierele CFR's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Atelierele CFR options trading.
Other Information on Investing in Atelierele Stock
Atelierele CFR financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atelierele Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atelierele with respect to the benefits of owning Atelierele CFR security.