Atrium Ljungberg (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 206.45

ATRLJ-B Stock  SEK 203.50  3.00  1.45%   
Atrium Ljungberg's future price is the expected price of Atrium Ljungberg instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atrium Ljungberg AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atrium Ljungberg Backtesting, Atrium Ljungberg Valuation, Atrium Ljungberg Correlation, Atrium Ljungberg Hype Analysis, Atrium Ljungberg Volatility, Atrium Ljungberg History as well as Atrium Ljungberg Performance.
  
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Atrium Ljungberg Target Price Odds to finish over 206.45

The tendency of Atrium Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over kr 206.45  or more in 90 days
 203.50 90 days 206.45 
about 85.78
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atrium Ljungberg to move over kr 206.45  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.78 (This Atrium Ljungberg AB probability density function shows the probability of Atrium Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atrium Ljungberg price to stay between its current price of kr 203.50  and kr 206.45  at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atrium Ljungberg has a beta of 0.15. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atrium Ljungberg average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atrium Ljungberg AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atrium Ljungberg AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Atrium Ljungberg Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atrium Ljungberg

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atrium Ljungberg. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
201.95203.50205.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
199.92201.47223.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
191.97193.52195.07
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
193.27211.07228.88
Details

Atrium Ljungberg Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atrium Ljungberg is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atrium Ljungberg's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atrium Ljungberg AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atrium Ljungberg within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.15
σ
Overall volatility
15.34
Ir
Information ratio -0.19

Atrium Ljungberg Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atrium Ljungberg for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atrium Ljungberg can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atrium Ljungberg generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atrium Ljungberg has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Atrium Ljungberg Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atrium Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atrium Ljungberg's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atrium Ljungberg's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding129.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments719 M

Atrium Ljungberg Technical Analysis

Atrium Ljungberg's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atrium Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atrium Ljungberg AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atrium Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atrium Ljungberg Predictive Forecast Models

Atrium Ljungberg's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atrium Ljungberg's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atrium Ljungberg's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atrium Ljungberg

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atrium Ljungberg for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atrium Ljungberg help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Atrium Ljungberg generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Atrium Ljungberg has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 60.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Atrium Stock

Atrium Ljungberg financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atrium Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atrium with respect to the benefits of owning Atrium Ljungberg security.