Alpha Trust (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.96
| ATRUST Stock | EUR 8.72 0.06 0.68% |
Alpha |
Alpha Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 3.96
The tendency of Alpha Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 3.96 or more in 90 days |
| 8.72 | 90 days | 3.96 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alpha Trust to drop to € 3.96 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Alpha Trust Mutual probability density function shows the probability of Alpha Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alpha Trust Mutual price to stay between € 3.96 and its current price of €8.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 58.55 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alpha Trust Mutual has a beta of -0.0169. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Alpha Trust are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Alpha Trust Mutual is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Alpha Trust Mutual has an alpha of 0.0103, implying that it can generate a 0.0103 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alpha Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alpha Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Trust Mutual. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alpha Trust's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alpha Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alpha Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alpha Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alpha Trust Mutual, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alpha Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Alpha Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alpha Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alpha Trust Mutual can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Alpha Trust Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alpha Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alpha Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividends Paid | 2 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.34 |
Alpha Trust Technical Analysis
Alpha Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alpha Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alpha Trust Mutual. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alpha Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alpha Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Alpha Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alpha Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alpha Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alpha Trust Mutual
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alpha Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alpha Trust Mutual help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Alpha Stock
Alpha Trust financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpha Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpha with respect to the benefits of owning Alpha Trust security.