Atreyu Capital (Israel) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 6416.84

ATRY Stock   6,592  47.00  0.71%   
Atreyu Capital's future price is the expected price of Atreyu Capital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Atreyu Capital Markets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Atreyu Capital Backtesting, Atreyu Capital Valuation, Atreyu Capital Correlation, Atreyu Capital Hype Analysis, Atreyu Capital Volatility, Atreyu Capital History as well as Atreyu Capital Performance.
  
Please specify Atreyu Capital's target price for which you would like Atreyu Capital odds to be computed.

Atreyu Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 6416.84

The tendency of Atreyu Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  6,417  or more in 90 days
 6,592 90 days 6,417 
more than 94.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atreyu Capital to drop to  6,417  or more in 90 days from now is more than 94.0 (This Atreyu Capital Markets probability density function shows the probability of Atreyu Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atreyu Capital Markets price to stay between  6,417  and its current price of 6592.0 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Atreyu Capital has a beta of 0.0787. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atreyu Capital average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atreyu Capital Markets will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atreyu Capital Markets has an alpha of 0.3469, implying that it can generate a 0.35 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Atreyu Capital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Atreyu Capital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atreyu Capital Markets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
6,5906,5926,594
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5,9337,0747,076
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
6,4156,4176,418
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6,5636,6086,652
Details

Atreyu Capital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atreyu Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atreyu Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atreyu Capital Markets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atreyu Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.08
σ
Overall volatility
434.02
Ir
Information ratio 0.16

Atreyu Capital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atreyu Capital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atreyu Capital Markets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Atreyu Capital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atreyu Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atreyu Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atreyu Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding14.7 M

Atreyu Capital Technical Analysis

Atreyu Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atreyu Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atreyu Capital Markets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atreyu Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Atreyu Capital Predictive Forecast Models

Atreyu Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atreyu Capital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atreyu Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Atreyu Capital Markets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Atreyu Capital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atreyu Capital Markets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 46.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Atreyu Stock

Atreyu Capital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Atreyu Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Atreyu with respect to the benefits of owning Atreyu Capital security.