Alliance Trust (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1,191
| ATST Stock | 1,280 6.00 0.47% |
Alliance |
Alliance Trust Target Price Odds to finish below 1,191
The tendency of Alliance Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move below current price in 90 days |
| 1,280 | 90 days | 1,280 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alliance Trust to move below current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Alliance Trust PLC probability density function shows the probability of Alliance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Alliance Trust has a beta of 0.54. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Alliance Trust average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Alliance Trust PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Alliance Trust PLC has an alpha of 0.0666, implying that it can generate a 0.0666 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Alliance Trust Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Alliance Trust
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alliance Trust PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Alliance Trust Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alliance Trust is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alliance Trust's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alliance Trust PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alliance Trust within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.54 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 35.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Alliance Trust Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alliance Trust for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alliance Trust PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Alliance Trust PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years |
Alliance Trust Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Alliance Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Alliance Trust's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alliance Trust's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 287.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 85 M |
Alliance Trust Technical Analysis
Alliance Trust's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alliance Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alliance Trust PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alliance Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Alliance Trust Predictive Forecast Models
Alliance Trust's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alliance Trust's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alliance Trust's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Alliance Trust PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Alliance Trust for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alliance Trust PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Alliance Trust PLC is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years |
Additional Tools for Alliance Stock Analysis
When running Alliance Trust's price analysis, check to measure Alliance Trust's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alliance Trust is operating at the current time. Most of Alliance Trust's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alliance Trust's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alliance Trust's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alliance Trust to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.