Alger 35 Fund Odds of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 18.93

ATVPX Fund  USD 17.66  0.09  0.51%   
Alger 35's future price is the expected price of Alger 35 instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Alger 35 Fund performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Alger 35 Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Alger 35 Correlation, Alger 35 Hype Analysis, Alger 35 Volatility, Alger 35 History as well as Alger 35 Performance.
  
Please specify Alger 35's target price for which you would like Alger 35 odds to be computed.

Alger 35 Target Price Odds to finish over 18.93

The tendency of Alger Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 18.93  or more in 90 days
 17.66 90 days 18.93 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Alger 35 to move over $ 18.93  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Alger 35 Fund probability density function shows the probability of Alger Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Alger 35 Fund price to stay between its current price of $ 17.66  and $ 18.93  at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.68 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This suggests Alger 35 Fund market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Alger 35 is expected to follow. Additionally Alger 35 Fund has an alpha of 0.1608, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Alger 35 Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Alger 35

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alger 35 Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
16.4217.6618.90
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.4118.6519.89
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.6117.8519.09
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
15.3516.7318.11
Details

Alger 35 Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Alger 35 is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Alger 35's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Alger 35 Fund, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Alger 35 within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.07
σ
Overall volatility
1.06
Ir
Information ratio 0.12

Alger 35 Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Alger 35 for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Alger 35 Fund can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Alger 35 Technical Analysis

Alger 35's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Alger Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Alger 35 Fund. In general, you should focus on analyzing Alger Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Alger 35 Predictive Forecast Models

Alger 35's time-series forecasting models is one of many Alger 35's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Alger 35's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Alger 35 Fund

Checking the ongoing alerts about Alger 35 for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Alger 35 Fund help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund holds 98.79% of its assets under management (AUM) in equities

Other Information on Investing in Alger Mutual Fund

Alger 35 financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alger Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alger with respect to the benefits of owning Alger 35 security.
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