After You (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 10.77

AU Stock   11.00  0.10  0.92%   
After You's future price is the expected price of After You instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of After You Public performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out After You Backtesting, After You Valuation, After You Correlation, After You Hype Analysis, After You Volatility, After You History as well as After You Performance.
  
Please specify After You's target price for which you would like After You odds to be computed.

After You Target Price Odds to finish below 10.77

The tendency of After Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  10.77  or more in 90 days
 11.00 90 days 10.77 
about 72.86
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of After You to drop to  10.77  or more in 90 days from now is about 72.86 (This After You Public probability density function shows the probability of After Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of After You Public price to stay between  10.77  and its current price of 11.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.18 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon After You has a beta of 0.49. This suggests as returns on the market go up, After You average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding After You Public will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally After You Public has an alpha of 0.2441, implying that it can generate a 0.24 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   After You Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for After You

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as After You Public. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.5511.001,111
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.6212.361,112
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.2211.06137.85
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.5710.8811.19
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as After You. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against After You's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, After You's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in After You Public.

After You Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. After You is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the After You's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold After You Public, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of After You within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.24
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.49
σ
Overall volatility
1.39
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

After You Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of After You for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for After You Public can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
After You Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
After You Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

After You Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of After Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential After You's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. After You's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding815.6 M

After You Technical Analysis

After You's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. After Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of After You Public. In general, you should focus on analyzing After Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

After You Predictive Forecast Models

After You's time-series forecasting models is one of many After You's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary After You's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about After You Public

Checking the ongoing alerts about After You for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for After You Public help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
After You Public is way too risky over 90 days horizon
After You Public appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
About 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in After Stock

After You financial ratios help investors to determine whether After Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in After with respect to the benefits of owning After You security.