AU Small (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 468.59
| AUBANK Stock | 596.30 0.60 0.10% |
AUBANK |
AU Small Target Price Odds to finish below 468.59
The tendency of AUBANK Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 468.59 or more in 90 days |
| 596.30 | 90 days | 468.59 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AU Small to drop to 468.59 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This AU Small Finance probability density function shows the probability of AUBANK Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of AU Small Finance price to stay between 468.59 and its current price of 596.3 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon AU Small has a beta of 0.5. This suggests as returns on the market go up, AU Small average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding AU Small Finance will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally AU Small Finance has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AU Small Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AU Small
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AU Small Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AU Small Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AU Small is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AU Small's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold AU Small Finance, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AU Small within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.50 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 55.47 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
AU Small Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AU Small for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for AU Small Finance can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| AU Small Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AU Small Finance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AU Small generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AU Small Finance Bank Ltd soars 0.14, rises for fifth straight session - Business Standard |
AU Small Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AUBANK Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AU Small's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AU Small's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 671.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 64.4 B |
AU Small Technical Analysis
AU Small's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AUBANK Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of AU Small Finance. In general, you should focus on analyzing AUBANK Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AU Small Predictive Forecast Models
AU Small's time-series forecasting models is one of many AU Small's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AU Small's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about AU Small Finance
Checking the ongoing alerts about AU Small for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for AU Small Finance help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| AU Small Finance generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| AU Small Finance is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| AU Small generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: AU Small Finance Bank Ltd soars 0.14, rises for fifth straight session - Business Standard |
Other Information on Investing in AUBANK Stock
AU Small financial ratios help investors to determine whether AUBANK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in AUBANK with respect to the benefits of owning AU Small security.