Austchina Holdings (Australia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 63.44
| AUH Stock | 0 0.00 0.00% |
Austchina |
Austchina Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 63.44
The tendency of Austchina Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 63.44 or more in 90 days |
| 0 | 90 days | 63.44 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Austchina Holdings to move over 63.44 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Austchina Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Austchina Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Austchina Holdings price to stay between its current price of 0 and 63.44 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Austchina Holdings has a beta of 0.72. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Austchina Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Austchina Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Austchina Holdings has an alpha of 0.1056, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Austchina Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Austchina Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Austchina Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Austchina Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Austchina Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Austchina Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Austchina Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Austchina Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.72 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.0005 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Austchina Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Austchina Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Austchina Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Austchina Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Austchina Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Austchina Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.41 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (159.47 K). | |
| Austchina Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: This AustChina Holdings Insider Reduced Their Stake By 100 percent - Simply Wall St |
Austchina Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Austchina Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Austchina Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Austchina Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 702.3 K |
Austchina Holdings Technical Analysis
Austchina Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Austchina Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Austchina Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Austchina Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Austchina Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Austchina Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Austchina Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Austchina Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Austchina Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Austchina Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Austchina Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Austchina Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Austchina Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Austchina Holdings has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (1.41 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (159.47 K). | |
| Austchina Holdings generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 76.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: This AustChina Holdings Insider Reduced Their Stake By 100 percent - Simply Wall St |
Additional Tools for Austchina Stock Analysis
When running Austchina Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Austchina Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Austchina Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Austchina Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Austchina Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Austchina Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Austchina Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.