Authid Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 11.04
| AUID Stock | USD 6.74 0.11 1.66% |
AuthID |
AuthID Target Price Odds to finish over 11.04
The tendency of AuthID Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 11.04 or more in 90 days |
| 6.74 | 90 days | 11.04 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of AuthID to move over $ 11.04 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This authID Inc probability density function shows the probability of AuthID Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of authID Inc price to stay between its current price of $ 6.74 and $ 11.04 at the end of the 90-day period is about 81.12 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.65 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, AuthID will likely underperform. Additionally AuthID Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. AuthID Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for AuthID
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as authID Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AuthID Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. AuthID is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the AuthID's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold authID Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of AuthID within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.36 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.65 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.68 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
AuthID Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of AuthID for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for authID Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| authID Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| authID Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| authID Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 190.29 K. Net Loss for the year was (19.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.63 M. | |
| authID Inc currently holds about 9.98 M in cash with (8.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4. | |
| authID Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: authID Inc. CTO Thomas Szoke sells 10,365 in stock |
AuthID Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of AuthID Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential AuthID's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AuthID's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 6.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.2 M |
AuthID Technical Analysis
AuthID's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. AuthID Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of authID Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing AuthID Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
AuthID Predictive Forecast Models
AuthID's time-series forecasting models is one of many AuthID's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary AuthID's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about authID Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about AuthID for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for authID Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| authID Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| authID Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| authID Inc has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 190.29 K. Net Loss for the year was (19.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.63 M. | |
| authID Inc currently holds about 9.98 M in cash with (8.37 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.4. | |
| authID Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: authID Inc. CTO Thomas Szoke sells 10,365 in stock |
Check out AuthID Backtesting, AuthID Valuation, AuthID Correlation, AuthID Hype Analysis, AuthID Volatility, AuthID History as well as AuthID Performance. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Is Application Software space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AuthID. If investors know AuthID will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AuthID listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.11) | Revenue Per Share 0.079 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.737 | Return On Assets (0.63) | Return On Equity (1.13) |
The market value of authID Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AuthID that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AuthID's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AuthID's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AuthID's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AuthID's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AuthID's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AuthID is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AuthID's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.